Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Ucam Murcia
Home
2-4
Full time
Estadio de La Condomina
Cieza
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ucam Murcia wins
0
Draws
0
Cieza wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
66%
86%
Attack
60%
86%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Ucam Murcia
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Cieza
last 5 away from home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Ucam Murcia | Cieza | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Ucam Murcia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Cieza
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ucam Murcia face Cieza in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. Ucam Murcia have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Cieza have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Ucam Murcia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ucam Murcia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Ucam Murcia, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Cieza. Our top recommended betting pick is Ucam Murcia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
