Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Guarda
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Machico
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
25%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guarda wins
0
Draws
0
Machico wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
66%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Guarda
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Machico
last 5 away from home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
1.40
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Guarda | Machico | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Guarda
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
14%
Behind
71%
Machico
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Guarda face Machico in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B. Guarda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Machico have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Machico's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Machico to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Guarda, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Machico. Our top recommended betting pick is Machico Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
