Eredivisie · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Fortuna Sittard
Home
1-0
Full time
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Excelsior
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fortuna Sittard wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
13%
46%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Fortuna Sittard
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Excelsior
last 8 away from home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Fortuna Sittard
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Excelsior
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Fortuna Sittard |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| 15 |
Excelsior |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fortuna Sittard face Excelsior in Eredivisie. Fortuna Sittard have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game). Excelsior have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 15 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 44% probability backing Fortuna Sittard, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fortuna Sittard to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Fortuna Sittard, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Excelsior. Our top recommended betting pick is Fortuna Sittard Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 11:15 (East Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
