Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Mensajero
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
UD San Fernando
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 1.91
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
22%
Away
64%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mensajero wins
0
Draws
0
UD San Fernando wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
95%
40%
Attack
95%
26%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
64%
Home and away record
Mensajero
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
UD San Fernando
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Mensajero | UD San Fernando | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Mensajero
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
UD San Fernando
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD San Fernando |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 |
| 10 |
Mensajero |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mensajero face UD San Fernando in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. Mensajero have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1 points per game). UD San Fernando have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
UD San Fernando's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 64% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for UD San Fernando to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Mensajero, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 64% probability for UD San Fernando. Our top recommended betting pick is UD San Fernando Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
