Ligue A · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Le Messager Ngozi
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Young Star
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
6%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Le Messager Ngozi wins
0
Draws
0
Young Star wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
13%
73%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Le Messager Ngozi
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Young Star
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Le Messager Ngozi | Young Star | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 2/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 5/8 63% |
At half time
Le Messager Ngozi
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Young Star
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
17%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Le Messager Ngozi |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 15 |
Young Star |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Le Messager Ngozi face Young Star in Ligue A. Le Messager Ngozi have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Young Star have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 16 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 92% probability backing Le Messager Ngozi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Le Messager Ngozi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Le Messager Ngozi, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Young Star. Our top recommended betting pick is Le Messager Ngozi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Ligue A.
