Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Desenzano Calvina
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni
Giana Erminio
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
28%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Desenzano Calvina wins
0
Draws
0
Giana Erminio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Desenzano Calvina
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Giana Erminio
last 7 away from home
0W
3D
4L
0.43
points a game
0.71
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Desenzano Calvina | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Desenzano Calvina
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Giana Erminio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Desenzano Calvina |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |
Giana Erminio |
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Desenzano Calvina face Giana Erminio in Serie C - Girone A. Desenzano Calvina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Giana Erminio have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 56% probability backing Desenzano Calvina, home advantage and superior chance creation make Desenzano Calvina to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Desenzano Calvina, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Giana Erminio. Our top recommended betting pick is Desenzano Calvina Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
