Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Castellanzese
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Varesina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellanzese wins
0
Draws
0
Varesina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Castellanzese
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Varesina
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Castellanzese | Varesina | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Castellanzese
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Varesina
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Castellanzese |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 14 |
Varesina |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellanzese face Varesina in Serie D - Girone D. Castellanzese have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Varesina have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Castellanzese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellanzese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Castellanzese, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Varesina. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellanzese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
