Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Pontedera
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Oltrepò
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pontedera wins
0
Draws
0
Oltrepò wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
20%
Attack
13%
13%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Pontedera
last 3 at home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Oltrepò
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Pontedera | Oltrepò | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Pontedera
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Oltrepò
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Pontedera face Oltrepò in Serie D - Girone D. Pontedera have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). Oltrepò have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Pontedera, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pontedera to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Pontedera, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Oltrepò. Our top recommended betting pick is Pontedera Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Mannucci as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
