Serie D - Girone E · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Lucchese
Home
1-1
Full time
Porta Elisa
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lucchese wins
0
Draws
0
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
13%
60%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Lucchese
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Lucchese | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 4/7 57% |
At half time
Lucchese
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Lucchese |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 17 |
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano |
10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lucchese face Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano in Serie D - Girone E. Lucchese have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Lucchese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lucchese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Lucchese, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. Our top recommended betting pick is Lucchese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Porta Elisa as part of the Serie D - Girone E.
