Serie D - Girone E · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Montevarchi Calcio
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Grassina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
59%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Montevarchi Calcio wins
0
Draws
0
Grassina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Montevarchi Calcio
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Grassina
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Montevarchi Calcio | Grassina | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Montevarchi Calcio
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Grassina
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Montevarchi Calcio |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 |
Grassina |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Montevarchi Calcio face Grassina in Serie D - Girone E. Montevarchi Calcio have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Grassina have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 59% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Montevarchi Calcio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Montevarchi Calcio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Montevarchi Calcio, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Grassina. Our top recommended betting pick is Montevarchi Calcio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone E.
