Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Vigor Senigallia
Home
0-5
Full time
Venue TBC
Ancona
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vigor Senigallia wins
0
Draws
0
Ancona wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
73%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Vigor Senigallia
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ancona
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Vigor Senigallia | Ancona | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Vigor Senigallia
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Ancona
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Ancona |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 |
Vigor Senigallia |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vigor Senigallia face Ancona in Serie D - Girone F. Vigor Senigallia have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Ancona have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
Ancona's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ancona to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Vigor Senigallia, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Ancona. Our top recommended betting pick is Ancona Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
