Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Aranova
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Sarnese
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
28%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aranova wins
0
Draws
0
Sarnese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
95%
60%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Aranova
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Sarnese
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Aranova | Sarnese | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Aranova
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
Sarnese
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aranova face Sarnese in Serie D - Girone G. Aranova have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Sarnese have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Sarnese's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sarnese to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Aranova, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Sarnese. Our top recommended betting pick is Sarnese Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone G.
