Ettan - Norra · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Karlberg
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadshagens IP
Umeå FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
22%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Karlberg wins
0
Draws
0
Umeå FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
95%
46%
Attack
80%
5%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Karlberg
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Umeå FC
last 7 away from home
4W
0D
3L
1.71
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Karlberg | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Karlberg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Umeå FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Karlberg face Umeå FC in Ettan - Norra. Karlberg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 15 (0.8 points per game). Umeå FC have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Karlberg, home advantage and superior chance creation make Karlberg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Karlberg, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Umeå FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Karlberg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP as part of the Ettan - Norra.
