Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Monaco
Home
1-1
Full time
Stade Louis II
Lille
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
60%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monaco wins
0
Draws
0
Lille wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
Monaco
- S. Idumbo-Muzambo · Groin Injury
- Ansu Fati · Hamstring Injury
- M. Salisu · Inactive
- E. Dier · Muscle Injury
- P. Brunner · Suspended
- A. Fati · Calf Injury
- J. Teze · Injury
- M. Coulibaly · Muscle Injury
Lille
- H. Igamane · Jumpers Knee
- A. Ueda · Foot Injury
- Tiago Santos · Jumpers Knee
- E. Mbappe · Red Card
- T. Santos · Knee Injury
- N. Bentaleb · Illness
- T. Nianzou · Red Card
- O. Sahraoui · Coach's decision
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Monaco
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.63
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lille
last 7 away from home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Monaco
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
Lille
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Monaco face Lille in Ligue 1. Monaco have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Lille have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 60% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Monaco, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Lille. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Stade Louis II as part of the Ligue 1.
