1. Liga Promotion · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Lugano II
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Bellinzona
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
16%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lugano II wins
0
Draws
0
Bellinzona wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Lugano II
last 6 at home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
2.17
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Bellinzona
last 7 away from home
0W
1D
6L
0.14
points a game
0.29
scored a game
2.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lugano II | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Lugano II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Bellinzona
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Lugano II |
14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 17 |
Bellinzona |
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lugano II face Bellinzona in 1. Liga Promotion. Lugano II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Bellinzona have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Lugano II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lugano II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Lugano II, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Bellinzona. Our top recommended betting pick is Lugano II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga Promotion.
