Liga 3 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
União Santarém
Home
2-1
Full time
Campo Cha das Padeiras
Vitória de Sernache
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
13%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
União Santarém wins
0
Draws
0
Vitória de Sernache wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
80%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
União Santarém
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.83
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Vitória de Sernache
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| União Santarém | Vitória de Sernache | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
União Santarém
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Vitória de Sernache
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
União Santarém |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 |
Vitória de Sernache |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
União Santarém face Vitória de Sernache in Liga 3. União Santarém have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Vitória de Sernache have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 72% probability backing União Santarém, home advantage and superior chance creation make União Santarém to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for União Santarém, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Vitória de Sernache. Our top recommended betting pick is União Santarém Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras as part of the Liga 3.
