Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Alpendorada
Home
2-2
Full time
Municipal Stadium Alpendorada
Castro Daire
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.24
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
36%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
42%
2.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.67
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Alpendorada v Castro Daire pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alpendorada wins
0
Draws
0
Castro Daire wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
33%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Alpendorada
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Castro Daire
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Alpendorada | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Alpendorada
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Castro Daire
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alpendorada face Castro Daire in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B. Alpendorada have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Castro Daire have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With evenly matched metrics (33% vs 31%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Alpendorada, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Castro Daire. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.67 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Municipal Stadium Alpendorada as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
