Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
FC Alverca II
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
AD Nogueirense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Alverca II wins
0
Draws
0
AD Nogueirense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
FC Alverca II
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
AD Nogueirense
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| FC Alverca II | AD Nogueirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
FC Alverca II
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
AD Nogueirense
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Alverca II face AD Nogueirense in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. FC Alverca II have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). AD Nogueirense have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 51% probability backing FC Alverca II, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Alverca II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for FC Alverca II, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for AD Nogueirense. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Alverca II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
