Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Naval 1893
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Mortágua
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
30%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Naval 1893 wins
0
Draws
0
Mortágua wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
36%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Naval 1893
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Mortágua
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Naval 1893 | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Naval 1893
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Mortágua
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Naval 1893 face Mortágua in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. Naval 1893 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Mortágua have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (36% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Naval 1893, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Mortágua. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
