Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Sertanense
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Fátima
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
24%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sertanense wins
0
Draws
0
Fátima wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
60%
Home and away record
Sertanense
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Fátima
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Sertanense | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Sertanense
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Fátima
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sertanense face Fátima in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. Sertanense have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game). Fátima have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Fátima's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Fátima to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Sertanense, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Fátima. Our top recommended betting pick is Fátima Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
