Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
UD da Serra
Home
1-1
Full time
Campo da Portela
Atlético Malveira
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD da Serra wins
0
Draws
0
Atlético Malveira wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
UD da Serra
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Atlético Malveira
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| UD da Serra | Atlético Malveira | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
UD da Serra
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Atlético Malveira
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
UD da Serra face Atlético Malveira in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. UD da Serra have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Atlético Malveira have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 85% probability backing UD da Serra, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD da Serra to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for UD da Serra, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Atlético Malveira. Our top recommended betting pick is UD da Serra Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Portela as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
