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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
1º Dezembro
Home
1-0
Full time
Campo Conde de Sucena
Vitoria Setubal
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
23%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
1º Dezembro wins
0
Draws
0
Vitoria Setubal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
60%
25%
Attack
46%
41%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
1º Dezembro
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Vitoria Setubal
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| 1º Dezembro | Vitoria Setubal | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
1º Dezembro
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
Vitoria Setubal
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
1º Dezembro face Vitoria Setubal in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D. 1º Dezembro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (1.25 points per game). Vitoria Setubal have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Vitoria Setubal's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Vitoria Setubal to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for 1º Dezembro, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Vitoria Setubal. Our top recommended betting pick is Vitoria Setubal Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Conde de Sucena as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
