Eredivisie · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
Home
1-2
Full time
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel
Ajax
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
22%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Rotterdam wins
0
Draws
0
Ajax wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
73%
5%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
60%
Home and away record
Sparta Rotterdam
last 8 at home
2W
4D
2L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Ajax
last 8 away from home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
3.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Sparta Rotterdam
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Ajax
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Ajax |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 25 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam face Ajax in Eredivisie. Sparta Rotterdam have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 15 (1 points per game). Ajax have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Ajax's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ajax to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Sparta Rotterdam, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Ajax. Our top recommended betting pick is Ajax Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 15:45 (East Africa Time) at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel as part of the Eredivisie.
