Eliteserien · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home
2-1
Full time
Sarpsborg Stadion
Aalesund
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
0
Draws
0
Aalesund wins
11 Oct 2026
Aalesund
2 - 4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
86%
40%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
30%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Sarpsborg 08 FF
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Aalesund
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
3.38
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Sarpsborg 08 FF
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Aalesund
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF |
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 |
Aalesund |
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sarpsborg 08 FF face Aalesund in Eliteserien. Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Aalesund have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 11 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 1, Aalesund won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
Aalesund's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Aalesund to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Sarpsborg 08 FF, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Aalesund. Our top recommended betting pick is Aalesund Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion as part of the Eliteserien.
