Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Marbelli
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Atlético Porcuna
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Marbelli wins
0
Draws
0
Atlético Porcuna wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Marbelli
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Atlético Porcuna
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Marbelli | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Marbelli
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Atlético Porcuna
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Marbelli |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Atlético Porcuna |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Marbelli face Atlético Porcuna in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Marbelli have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Atlético Porcuna have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Marbelli, home advantage and superior chance creation make Marbelli to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Marbelli, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Atlético Porcuna. Our top recommended betting pick is Marbelli Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
