Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Cenicero
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
La Calzada
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
22%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cenicero wins
0
Draws
0
La Calzada wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
80%
26%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Cenicero
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
La Calzada
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Cenicero | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Cenicero
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
La Calzada
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cenicero face La Calzada in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Cenicero have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). La Calzada have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
La Calzada's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for La Calzada to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Cenicero, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for La Calzada. Our top recommended betting pick is La Calzada Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
