Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Durango
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Pasaia KE
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Durango wins
0
Draws
0
Pasaia KE wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Durango
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Pasaia KE
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Durango | Pasaia KE | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Durango
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Pasaia KE
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Durango face Pasaia KE in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Durango have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Pasaia KE have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Durango, home advantage and superior chance creation make Durango to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Durango, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Pasaia KE. Our top recommended betting pick is Durango Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
