Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Pozuelo Alarcón
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Torrejón
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
23%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
40%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pozuelo Alarcón wins
0
Draws
0
Torrejón wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
73%
33%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Pozuelo Alarcón
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Torrejón
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Torrejón | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Pozuelo Alarcón
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
Torrejón
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Pozuelo Alarcón |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Torrejón |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pozuelo Alarcón face Torrejón in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Pozuelo Alarcón have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.6 points per game). Torrejón have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 40% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 68% probability backing Pozuelo Alarcón, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pozuelo Alarcón to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Pozuelo Alarcón, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Torrejón. Our top recommended betting pick is Pozuelo Alarcón Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
