Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Castuera
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Llerenense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
26%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Castuera v Llerenense pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castuera wins
0
Draws
0
Llerenense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
95%
60%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Castuera
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Llerenense
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Castuera | Llerenense | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/6 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Castuera
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Llerenense
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Castuera face Llerenense in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Castuera have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Llerenense have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 59% probability backing Castuera, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castuera to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Castuera, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Llerenense. Our top recommended betting pick is Castuera Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
