Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Puebla Calzada
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Villafranca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Puebla Calzada wins
0
Draws
0
Villafranca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Puebla Calzada
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Villafranca
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Puebla Calzada | Villafranca | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Puebla Calzada
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Villafranca
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Puebla Calzada |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 |
Villafranca |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Puebla Calzada face Villafranca in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Puebla Calzada have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Villafranca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 57% probability backing Puebla Calzada, home advantage and superior chance creation make Puebla Calzada to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Puebla Calzada, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Villafranca. Our top recommended betting pick is Puebla Calzada Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 11:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
