Segunda División · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Castellón
Home
4-0
Full time
Estadio Municipal Castalia
Sporting Gijon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
25%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellón wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Gijon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
80%
73%
Attack
60%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Castellón
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.83
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Sporting Gijon
last 7 away from home
4W
0D
3L
1.71
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Castellón | Sporting Gijon | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Castellón
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Sporting Gijon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Castellón |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 7 |
Sporting Gijon |
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellón face Sporting Gijon in Segunda División. Castellón have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Sporting Gijon have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 66% probability backing Castellón, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellón to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Castellón, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Sporting Gijon. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia as part of the Segunda División.
