Primera Nacional · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Almirante Brown
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Deportivo Moron
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
31%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Almirante Brown wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Moron wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Almirante Brown
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Deportivo Moron
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Almirante Brown
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Deportivo Moron
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 6 |
Almirante Brown |
35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | +5 | 51 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Almirante Brown face Deportivo Moron in Primera Nacional. Almirante Brown have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Deportivo Moron have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (34% vs 35%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Almirante Brown, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Deportivo Moron. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento as part of the Primera Nacional.
