Ligue 1 · Monday, 26 Oct 2026
Paris Saint Germain
Home
2-0
Full time
Parc des Princes
Lyon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
17%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paris Saint Germain wins
0
Draws
0
Lyon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
60%
95%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Paris Saint Germain
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Lyon
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Paris Saint Germain
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
10%
Behind
20%
Lyon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 5 |
Lyon |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Paris Saint Germain face Lyon in Ligue 1. Paris Saint Germain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 7 (3 points per game). Lyon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Paris Saint Germain, home advantage and superior chance creation make Paris Saint Germain to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Paris Saint Germain, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Lyon. Our top recommended betting pick is Paris Saint Germain Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 26 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Parc des Princes as part of the Ligue 1.
