Liga Pro · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Leones del Norte
Home
4-1
Full time
Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium
Libertad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
24%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Leones del Norte wins
0
Draws
1
Libertad wins
09 Oct 2026
Libertad
3 - 0
Leones del Norte
04 Jul 2026
Libertad
1 - 3
Leones del Norte
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Leones del Norte
last 8 at home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Libertad
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
0.88
scored a game
2.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leones del Norte | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Leones del Norte
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Libertad
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leones del Norte face Libertad in Liga Pro. Leones del Norte have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game). Libertad have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Leones del Norte won 1, Libertad won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Leones del Norte, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leones del Norte to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Leones del Norte, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Libertad. Our top recommended betting pick is Leones del Norte Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium as part of the Liga Pro.
