FA Cup · Tuesday, 20 Oct 2026
Alvechurch
Home
4-0
Full time
Lye Meadow
Spalding United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
30%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alvechurch wins
1
Draws
0
Spalding United wins
17 Oct 2026
Spalding United
2 - 2
Alvechurch
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
55%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Alvechurch
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
Spalding United
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.17
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alvechurch | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Alvechurch
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Spalding United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alvechurch face Spalding United in FA Cup. Alvechurch have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Spalding United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Alvechurch won 0, Spalding United won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 55% probability backing Alvechurch, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alvechurch to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Alvechurch, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Spalding United. Our top recommended betting pick is Alvechurch Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 20 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Lye Meadow as part of the FA Cup.
