FA Cup · Tuesday, 20 Oct 2026
Worcester City
Home
1-0
Full time
St. George's Lane
Chorley
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
24%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Worcester City wins
1
Draws
0
Chorley wins
17 Oct 2026
Chorley
1 - 1
Worcester City
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
22%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Worcester City
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Chorley
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Worcester City | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Worcester City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Chorley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Worcester City face Chorley in FA Cup. Worcester City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Chorley have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Worcester City won 0, Chorley won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Chorley's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Chorley to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Worcester City, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Chorley. Our top recommended betting pick is Chorley Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 20 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at St. George's Lane as part of the FA Cup.
