Liga 1 · Monday, 26 Oct 2026
Persebaya Surabaya
Home
3-1
Full time
Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Persepam Madura Utd
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Persebaya Surabaya wins
0
Draws
0
Persepam Madura Utd wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
60%
73%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Persebaya Surabaya
last 6 at home
3W
3D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Persepam Madura Utd
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Persebaya Surabaya | Persepam Madura Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Persebaya Surabaya
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Persepam Madura Utd
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Persepam Madura Utd |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 10 |
Persebaya Surabaya |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Persebaya Surabaya face Persepam Madura Utd in Liga 1. Persebaya Surabaya have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Persepam Madura Utd have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Persebaya Surabaya, home advantage and superior chance creation make Persebaya Surabaya to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Persebaya Surabaya, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Persepam Madura Utd. Our top recommended betting pick is Persebaya Surabaya Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 26 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium as part of the Liga 1.
