Serie A · Monday, 26 Oct 2026
Coritiba
Home
0-1
Full time
Estádio Couto Pereira
Gremio
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
27%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coritiba wins
0
Draws
0
Gremio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
20%
26%
Attack
40%
6%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Coritiba
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Gremio
last 8 away from home
0W
3D
5L
0.38
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coritiba | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Coritiba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Gremio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 18 |
Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coritiba face Gremio in Serie A. Coritiba have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.4 points per game). Gremio have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 59% probability backing Coritiba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coritiba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Coritiba, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Gremio. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 26 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Couto Pereira as part of the Serie A.
