Cup · Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026
Qabala
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Mingəçevir
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
28%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Qabala wins
0
Draws
0
Mingəçevir wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
20%
13%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Qabala
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Mingəçevir
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Qabala | Mingəçevir | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Qabala
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
56%
Behind
44%
Mingəçevir
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Qabala face Mingəçevir in Cup. Qabala have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). Mingəçevir have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Qabala, home advantage and superior chance creation make Qabala to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Qabala, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Mingəçevir. Our top recommended betting pick is Qabala Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Cup.
