Azadegan League · Thursday, 16 Jul 2026
Mes Kerman
Home
16:15
d ::
Venue TBC
Navad Urmia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
30%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
82%
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
20%
Over 2.5
18%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mes Kerman wins
0
Draws
0
Navad Urmia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
5%
16%
Attack
8%
75%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Mes Kerman
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Navad Urmia
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Mes Kerman | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Mes Kerman
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Navad Urmia
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mes Kerman face Navad Urmia in Azadegan League. Mes Kerman have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0.75 points per game). Navad Urmia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 10 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 20% and Both Teams to Score at 18%.
With a 61% probability backing Mes Kerman, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mes Kerman to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Mes Kerman, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Navad Urmia. Our top recommended betting pick is Mes Kerman Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 18%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 16 Jul 2026 at 16:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Azadegan League.
