Cup · Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026
Fakel
Home
0-0
Full time
Fakel Stadium
Akhmat
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fakel wins
1
Draws
1
Akhmat wins
18 Aug 2026
Akhmat
2 - 1
Fakel
10 Aug 2026
Fakel
0 - 0
Akhmat
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
6%
33%
Attack
20%
53%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Fakel
last 8 at home
1W
4D
3L
0.88
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Akhmat
last 8 away from home
0W
4D
4L
0.50
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fakel | Akhmat | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Fakel
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Akhmat
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fakel face Akhmat in Cup. Fakel have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Akhmat have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Fakel won 0, Akhmat won 1 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 56% probability backing Fakel, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fakel to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Fakel, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Akhmat. Our top recommended betting pick is Fakel Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium as part of the Cup.
