Serie A · Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026
Sassuolo
Home
2-6
Full time
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Lazio
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
28%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sassuolo wins
0
Draws
0
Lazio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
86%
46%
Attack
86%
26%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
32%
Team news
Sassuolo
- E. Pieragnolo · Jumpers Knee
- Fali Candé · Jumpers Knee
- D. Boloca · Muscle Bruise
- Y. Paz · Jumpers Knee
- I. Koné · Broken Leg
- I. Kone · Broken Leg
- F. Leysen · Knee Injury
- K. Thorstvedt · Red Card
Lazio
- Patric · Sprained Ankle
- N. Rovella · Calf Injury
- A. Furlanetto · Knee Injury
- A. Marusic · Muscle Injury
- A. Gudmundsson · Shoulder Injury
- M. Cancellieri · Leg Injury
- L. Pellegrini · Inactive
- F. Dele-Bashiru · Muscle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Sassuolo
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Lazio
last 6 away from home
6W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sassuolo | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Sassuolo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Lazio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sassuolo face Lazio in Serie A. Sassuolo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Lazio have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sassuolo, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Lazio. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore as part of the Serie A.
