Eliteserien · Thursday, 16 Jul 2026
Valerenga
Home
6-1
Full time
Intility Arena
Aalesund
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
21%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Valerenga v Aalesund pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Valerenga wins
0
Draws
0
Aalesund wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
95%
44%
Attack
95%
22%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Valerenga
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Aalesund
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Valerenga | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/1 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Valerenga
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Aalesund
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Valerenga |
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 |
Aalesund |
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Valerenga face Aalesund in Eliteserien. Valerenga have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Aalesund have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
Aalesund's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Aalesund to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Valerenga, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Aalesund. Our top recommended betting pick is Aalesund Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 16 Jul 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Intility Arena as part of the Eliteserien.
