Coppa Italia Serie C · Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026
Potenza
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Bari
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Potenza wins
1
Draws
0
Bari wins
15 Sep 2026
Bari
0 - 0
Potenza
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
48%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Potenza
last 6 at home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
2.67
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Bari
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Potenza | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Potenza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Bari
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Potenza face Bari in Coppa Italia Serie C. Potenza have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 8 (2.6 points per game). Bari have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Potenza won 0, Bari won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 48% probability backing Potenza, home advantage and superior chance creation make Potenza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Potenza, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Bari. Our top recommended betting pick is Potenza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani as part of the Coppa Italia Serie C.
