National League · Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026
Worthing
Home
3-3
Full time
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Southend
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
18%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
78%
1.21
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Worthing wins
0
Draws
0
Southend wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Worthing
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Southend
last 7 away from home
4W
3D
0L
2.14
points a game
2.57
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Worthing | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 10/10 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Worthing
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Southend
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Worthing face Southend in National League. Worthing have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Southend have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 53% probability backing Worthing, home advantage and superior chance creation make Worthing to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Worthing, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Southend. Our top recommended betting pick is Worthing Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium as part of the National League.
