UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 16 Jul 2026
Derry City
Home
1-2
Full time
Brandywell Stadium
CSKA Sofia
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Derry City wins
0
Draws
1
CSKA Sofia wins
09 Jul 2026
CSKA Sofia
3 - 2
Derry City
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
58%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
33%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Derry City
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
CSKA Sofia
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Derry City | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Derry City
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
CSKA Sofia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Derry City face CSKA Sofia in UEFA Europa League. Derry City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). CSKA Sofia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Derry City won 0, CSKA Sofia won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Derry City, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for CSKA Sofia. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 16 Jul 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Brandywell Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
