Copa Paraguay · Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026
Libertad Asuncion
Home
3-1
Full time
La Arboleda
Independiente F.b.c.
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Libertad Asuncion wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente F.b.c. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
73%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Libertad Asuncion
last 7 at home
5W
2D
0L
2.43
points a game
2.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Independiente F.b.c.
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
2.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Libertad Asuncion | Independiente F.b.c. | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Libertad Asuncion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Independiente F.b.c.
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Libertad Asuncion face Independiente F.b.c. in Copa Paraguay. Libertad Asuncion have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Independiente F.b.c. have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Libertad Asuncion, home advantage and superior chance creation make Libertad Asuncion to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Libertad Asuncion, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Independiente F.b.c.. Our top recommended betting pick is Libertad Asuncion Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at La Arboleda as part of the Copa Paraguay.
