CONCACAF Central American Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Alianza
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Cuscatlan
CD Marathon
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Alianza wins
0
Draws
1
CD Marathon wins
21 Oct 2026
CD Marathon
2 - 1
Alianza
20 Aug 2026
CD Marathon
0 - 1
Alianza
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Alianza
last 8 at home
4W
4D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
CD Marathon
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alianza | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Alianza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
CD Marathon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza face CD Marathon in CONCACAF Central American Cup. Alianza have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). CD Marathon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Alianza won 1, CD Marathon won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
CD Marathon's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CD Marathon to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Alianza, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for CD Marathon. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Marathon Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Cuscatlan as part of the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
