UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 16 Jul 2026
Vestri
Home
0-3
Full time
Throttarvollur
Qarabag
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
20%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vestri wins
0
Draws
1
Qarabag wins
09 Jul 2026
Qarabag
3 - 0
Vestri
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
33%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
48%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Vestri
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Qarabag
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Vestri | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Vestri
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Qarabag
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vestri face Qarabag in UEFA Europa League. Vestri have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Qarabag have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Vestri won 0, Qarabag won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 48% probability backing Vestri, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vestri to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Vestri, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Qarabag. Our top recommended betting pick is Vestri Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 16 Jul 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Throttarvollur as part of the UEFA Europa League.
