Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.99 - 2.08
Win probability
Home
12%
Draw
16%
Away
72%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg wins
0
Draws
0
Lech Poznan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
86%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
12%
Win probability
72%
Home and away record
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Lech Poznan
last 8 away from home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.38
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Lech Poznan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Siarka Tarnobrzeg face Lech Poznan in Cup. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Lech Poznan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Lech Poznan's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 72% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Lech Poznan to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 12% win probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 72% probability for Lech Poznan. Our top recommended betting pick is Lech Poznan Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski as part of the Cup.
